Just took at look at the forecasts on NHC...looks like Wilma has shifted
a bit further west and is going to swipe the Yucatan ... northern end of
Cozumel before hooking fast East to go after Florida.

Here's an excerpt from this AM's numbers:

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.0 WEST

This is 195 miles SE of Cozumel.

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2005

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT

A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI        
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT        
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN        
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.0N  86.5W      42  X  X  X 42

(best guess of storm's center location in 24 hours (A)

MMCZ 205N 869W    31  X  1  X 32

MMCZ is Cozumel's airport.  Represents a 31% chance of Wilma being
within 65 miles by 1AM Friday, although other NHC analysis shows a 58%
probability of hurricane force (64knot) winds, 75% for 50knot & 98% for
34knot (Tropical Storm) across the full five day period.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      20/0900Z 18.3N  85.0W   130 KT
12HR VT     20/1800Z 18.9N  85.8W   135 KT
24HR VT     21/0600Z 20.0N  86.5W   145 KT
36HR VT     21/1800Z 21.0N  87.0W   145 KT
48HR VT     22/0600Z 22.0N  86.5W   125 KT
72HR VT     23/0600Z 24.0N  84.5W   110 KT
96HR VT     24/0600Z 27.0N  80.0W    80 KT
120HR VT     25/0600Z 37.1N  70.0W    65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

Source:

HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2005

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml?